We'll be in real trouble if we go back to the Bush administration-era's economic policies.
Problem: Your right-wing relative is plugged into
the FOX-Limbaugh lie machine, and keeps sending you emails about “Obama
spending” and “Obama deficits” and how the “stimulus” just made things
worse.
Solution: Here are three “reality-based” charts to send to him. These charts show what actually happened.
Spending
Government
spending increased dramatically under President Bush. It has not
increased much under President Obama. This is just a fact.
Deficits
Note that this chart starts with Clinton’s last budget year for comparison.
The numbers in these two charts come from
Budget of the United States Government: Historical Tables Fiscal Year 2015. They are just the amounts that the government spent and borrowed, period, Anyone can go look them up. People
who claim that Obama “tripled the deficit” or increased it or anything of the sort are either misled or are
trying to mislead. President Obama
inherited a budget deficit of $1.4 trillion
from President Bush’s last budget year and annual budget deficits have gone down dramatically since.
The Stimulus and Jobs
In
this chart, the RED lines on the left side – the ones that keep doing
DOWN – show what happened to jobs under the policies of Bush and the
Republicans.
We were losing lots and lots of jobs every month, and it was getting worse and worse.
The BLUE lines – the ones that just go UP – show what happened to jobs
when the stimulus was in effect. We stopped losing jobs and started
gaining jobs, and it was getting better and better.
The leveling
off on the right side of the chart shows what happened as the stimulus
started to wind down: job creation leveled off at too low a level.
It
looks a lot like the stimulus reversed what was going on before the
stimulus. We have gone from losing around 850,000 jobs a month to
gaining over 200,000 jobs a month.
Conclusion:
THE STIMULUS WORKED BUT WAS NOT ENOUGH!
More False Things
These
are just three of the false things that everyone “knows” because places
like Fox News repeat them over and over and over. Some others are (
click through): Obama bailed out the banks, businesses will hire if they get tax cuts, health care reform cost $1 trillion,
Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme or is “going broke”, tax cuts grow the economy, government spending “
takes money out of the economy.”
Actually This Reduced Spending And Lower Deficit Have Hurt The Economy
Government
spending is literally, by definition, the things that government does
to make our lives better. People have been tricked into thinking that
government spending is somehow bad. The billionaires and giant
corporations spread this nonsense around because they are greedy and
just want their taxes lower. The top income tax rate used to be more
than 90 percent and the top corporate tax rate used to be more than 50
percent. That was back when we built this country’s great
infrastructure, had good schools
and defended the world against the Soviet Union. We also had
higher economic growth and a
growing middle class.
Government
spending does not “take money out of the economy.” In fact it puts
money into the economy, creates jobs and lays the foundation for future
prosperity. The decline in government spending shown in the charts above
is the reason that the economy remains sluggish and jobs are still hard
to get. Just look at that chart showing what the stimulus spending did
for the job situation. But since the stimulus ended, Republicans have
obstructed every effort to continue to use our government to help our
economy.
For example, this chart from The Atlantic, “
The Incredible Shrinking U.S. Government,”
shows how government spending to create government jobs helped us get
out of the 1981, 1990 and 2001 recessions. But since the 2007 “Great
Recession,” we instead have laid off hundreds of thousands of government
employees, obviously making unemployment even worse.
This chart shows only the loss of
government
jobs. Never mind the job losses in the stores where all of these people
were shopping. The Atlantic article says this, “EPI argues that “these
extra government jobs would have helped preserve about 500,000 private
sector jobs.”
And never mind the millions of jobs lost or not
created because of “austerity” cutbacks in government spending on things
like maintaining (never mind modernizing) our infrastructure! And
beyond that, what if we had spent some money (public investment) to
retrofit every building and home in the country to be energy efficient,
or built high-speed rail around the country? How many millions more
would have been hired to do those things – and how much would we be
saving on energy and other costs from now on?
This chart from Roger Hickey’s post,
Continued Jobs Growth. But Highway Bill Shows Austerity Still Hurts., shows how “conservative budget cutting has undermined growth from mid-2010 through 2014″:
“As
you can see, the impact of austerity on the economy is projected to be
reduced over the next two quarters, but the next budget is not expected
to be expansionary – and Republicans are still writing budgets under the
mistaken conservative theory that spending cuts somehow stimulate
growth.”
Family Budget?
They
say that government is like a family budget – when the money isn’t
coming in you have to cut back. That’s just nonsense if you think about
it. First of all, if we make the big corporations and billionaires pay
their fair share of taxes again, the money
would be coming in.
And anyway, families do invest in a mortgage, student loans and car
loans so they can have a place to live, a good education to get a better
job, and a car to get to and from work.
So don’t fall for the
nonsense the big corporations and billionaires are spreading through
their right-wing outlets. When you look a little deeper, that stuff just
falls apart. A country needs to invest to create jobs and have a better
future.
Why This Matters
These things
really matter. We all want to fix the terrible problems the country has.
But it is so important to know just what the problems are before you
decide how to fix them. Otherwise the things you do to try to solve
those problems might just make them worse – just as laying off
government workers in a recession makes unemployment worse.
If we
get tricked into thinking that Obama has made things worse and that we
should go back to what we were doing before Obama – tax cuts for the
rich, giving giant corporations and Wall Street everything they want,
when those are the things that caused the problems in the first place –
then we will be in real trouble.
Dave Johnson is a fellow at Campaign for America's Future.